Forecast for Season

The 2024 Atlantic basin hurricane season was forecast to be extremely active, with a well above-average probability for major hurricane landfall impacts.

2024 outlook

According to Colorado State University (forecast issued 4 April 2024):

  • Named storms: 23 (average 14.4)
  • Hurricanes: 11 (average 7.2)
  • Major hurricanes: 5 (average 3.2)

Supporting factors cited in the forecast included:

  • Transition from El Nino to La Nina, favoring hurricane-conducive wind shear conditions
  • Very warm sea surface temperatures across the eastern and central Atlantic
  • A more favorable dynamic and thermodynamic environment for storm formation and intensification

Be prepared regardless of forecast

The plan emphasizes annual readiness, regardless of seasonal totals. Examples cited in the document include:

  • 1992: Only six named storms, but Hurricane Andrew caused catastrophic damage in South Florida.
  • 1983: Only four named storms, but Hurricane Alicia (Category 3) caused severe impact in the Houston-Galveston area.
  • 2010: Nineteen named storms and twelve hurricanes formed, but U.S. hurricane landfall was limited while other regions saw significant impacts.

2024 storm names

  1. Alberto
  2. Beryl
  3. Chris
  4. Debby
  5. Ernesto
  6. Francine
  7. Gordon
  8. Helene
  9. Isaac
  10. Joyce
  11. Kirk
  12. Leslie
  13. Milton
  14. Nadine
  15. Oscar
  16. Patty
  17. Rafael
  18. Sara
  19. Tony
  20. Valerie
  21. William

Supplemental names list

  1. Adria
  2. Braylen
  3. Caridad
  4. Deshawn
  5. Emery
  6. Foster
  7. Gemma
  8. Heath
  9. Isla
  10. Jacobus
  11. Kenzie
  12. Lucio
  13. Makayla
  14. Nolan
  15. Orlanda
  16. Pax
  17. Ronin
  18. Sophie
  19. Tayshaun
  20. Viviana
  21. Will

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